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Red215
6875123.3
3161151.9
6140116.3
Blue486
3683182.5
4814142.3
2056250.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1844940100300400600700800215486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3161
#29
151.90.7
151.2151.9
Auto14.9
Teleop120.6
End16.5
blue by 98.3
250.20.1
249.5249.6
Auto28.6
Teleop179.3
End42.7
Second
6875
#20
123.31.1
119.7120.8
Auto19.5
Teleop89.0
End15.9
blue by 59.2
182.50.9
184.5183.6
Auto19.9
Teleop135.9
End25.7
Third
6140
#40
116.30.2
116.0116.3
Auto17.8
Teleop82.5
End17.0
blue by 26.0
4814
#13
142.31.1
138.9140.0
Auto19.4
Teleop107.5
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed71%Face the Boss oddsEarned