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Red205
6141112.3
7329142.0
4903174.8
Blue479
2702158.1
1305220.3
2386155.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281464100200400600700800205479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4903
#26
174.80.0
175.2175.2
Auto24.5
Teleop122.7
End25.2
blue by 45.5
220.31.0
218.6219.6
Auto23.3
Teleop157.1
End40.2
Second
7329
#21
142.00.8
144.2143.4
Auto21.8
Teleop101.1
End17.6
blue by 16.1
2702
#11
158.10.7
156.9157.6
Auto22.5
Teleop107.8
End28.1
Third
6141
#36
112.30.2
112.1112.3
Auto18.0
Teleop85.0
End10.9
blue by 43.3
2386
#16
155.70.5
154.6155.1
Auto16.9
Teleop119.6
End19.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed70%Face the Boss oddsEarned