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Red388
6856121.5
610242.9
6544145.4
Blue302
1334153.3
188163.1
6378163.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391313100200500600700388302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#2
242.90.1
242.1242.2
Auto26.5
Teleop175.2
End42.0
red by 79.5
6378
#24
163.40.0
163.5163.5
Auto22.6
Teleop121.8
End19.0
Second
6544
#22
145.40.3
145.7145.4
Auto16.3
Teleop104.8
End21.4
blue by 17.8
188
#18
163.12.3
158.2160.5
Auto23.5
Teleop122.3
End19.2
Third
6856
#31
121.50.2
121.2121.5
Auto18.9
Teleop92.7
End13.0
blue by 31.9
1334
#37
153.31.7
156.7155.0
Auto19.1
Teleop112.6
End18.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
40%Face the Boss oddsEarned17%Face the Boss oddsMissed