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Red486
1114225.4
1241239.6
4308135.5
Blue224
5039148.0
4525177.1
6632137.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions491265200400600800486224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
239.60.1
241.2241.1
Auto24.4
Teleop178.2
End34.3
red by 62.6
4525
#11
177.10.2
176.8177.0
Auto24.4
Teleop127.2
End24.7
Second
225.40.6
222.9223.5
Auto24.9
Teleop169.8
End29.0
red by 77.4
5039
#27
148.00.0
148.1148.1
Auto19.5
Teleop113.8
End13.8
Third
4308
#20
135.50.4
134.3134.7
Auto19.7
Teleop100.4
End14.3
blue by 1.7
6632
#33
137.30.0
137.4137.4
Auto19.0
Teleop100.9
End18.0