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Red425
2708172.2
7013134.8
771105.6
Blue321
6632137.3
4069153.1
4946173.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276393100200500600700800425321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.21.7
167.2168.8
Auto21.2
Teleop132.4
End20.3
blue by 1.0
173.31.9
170.7172.6
Auto23.5
Teleop125.0
End25.1
Second
7013
#30
134.80.0
134.8134.8
Auto25.2
Teleop95.0
End15.3
blue by 18.3
4069
#18
153.11.5
150.7152.3
Auto22.8
Teleop107.3
End23.2
Third
771
#35
105.60.9
106.5105.6
Auto17.6
Teleop76.7
End13.1
blue by 31.6
6632
#33
137.30.4
137.0137.4
Auto19.0
Teleop100.9
End18.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsMissed