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Red318
4939138.2
907151.6
3739125.9
Blue296
7200142.9
4704122.9
6878129.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331317150200250300350400450318296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
907
#28
151.60.0
151.6151.6
Auto17.3
Teleop111.1
End20.6
red by 8.7
7200
#23
142.90.3
142.6142.9
Auto19.5
Teleop105.6
End17.0
Second
4939
#16
138.20.1
138.0138.1
Auto20.6
Teleop100.8
End14.7
red by 8.8
6878
#34
129.40.2
129.6129.4
Auto16.6
Teleop97.0
End16.0
Third
3739
#40
125.90.2
125.7125.9
Auto16.6
Teleop93.9
End14.1
red by 3.0
4704
#31
122.90.6
123.5122.9
Auto18.6
Teleop95.0
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed