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Red279
4968137.3
1241239.6
5885136.9
Blue470
6854113.8
7058130.2
1114225.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4013270100200500600700800279470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
239.60.5
240.7241.2
Auto24.4
Teleop178.2
End34.3
red by 14.3
225.41.9
221.0222.9
Auto24.9
Teleop169.8
End29.0
Second
4968
#37
137.30.3
137.0137.3
Auto20.5
Teleop98.6
End15.2
red by 7.2
7058
#32
130.20.2
130.4130.2
Auto20.3
Teleop95.9
End13.1
Third
5885
#25
136.90.3
136.6136.9
Auto19.6
Teleop93.0
End25.3
red by 23.1
6854
#19
113.80.0
113.8113.8
Auto17.0
Teleop85.8
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
72%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed