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Red398
4976190.8
865187.8
7267121.1
Blue336
6009151.0
4946173.3
2609163.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392336200300500600700398336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4976
#12
190.80.0
190.8190.8
Auto20.3
Teleop148.7
End20.8
red by 17.5
173.30.3
173.0173.3
Auto23.5
Teleop125.0
End25.1
Second
865
#7
187.80.7
185.6186.2
Auto25.2
Teleop132.4
End30.4
red by 24.7
2609
#14
163.20.1
163.0163.2
Auto24.5
Teleop120.1
End17.6
Third
7267
#29
121.10.6
119.2119.8
Auto16.8
Teleop95.3
End10.2
blue by 29.9
6009
#26
151.00.1
150.9151.0
Auto16.6
Teleop113.2
End21.6