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Red457
4917213.5
5406205.6
4939138.2
Blue300
1360208.8
2708172.2
4992138.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38136402006008001,0001,200457300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
213.50.0
213.3213.3
Auto28.2
Teleop149.3
End35.7
red by 4.7
208.80.1
208.6208.7
Auto26.1
Teleop153.5
End29.3
Second
205.60.0
205.3205.3
Auto24.2
Teleop144.6
End37.1
red by 33.4
172.20.6
171.1171.7
Auto21.2
Teleop132.4
End20.3
Third
4939
#16
138.20.0
138.1138.1
Auto20.6
Teleop100.8
End14.7
blue by 0.3
4992
#36
138.50.2
138.9138.7
Auto17.4
Teleop107.1
End11.3