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Red317
1360208.8
2708172.2
4992138.5
Blue398
4069153.1
4039173.9
6070126.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4202850100200500600700317398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
208.80.2
208.2208.5
Auto26.1
Teleop153.5
End29.3
red by 35.0
173.90.1
173.6173.7
Auto25.8
Teleop134.5
End14.7
Second
172.20.8
169.7170.5
Auto21.2
Teleop132.4
End20.3
red by 19.2
4069
#18
153.10.3
152.5152.8
Auto22.8
Teleop107.3
End23.2
Third
4992
#36
138.50.1
139.1139.0
Auto17.4
Teleop107.1
End11.3
red by 11.6
6070
#15
126.90.3
126.3126.6
Auto20.0
Teleop92.9
End14.0