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Red95
3739125.9
6070126.9
6632137.3
Blue465
4917213.5
4946173.3
5596159.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24246810020030040060070080090095465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6632
#33
137.31.4
135.7137.1
Auto19.0
Teleop100.9
End18.0
blue by 76.2
213.50.2
217.8217.6
Auto28.2
Teleop149.3
End35.7
Second
6070
#15
126.92.0
122.1124.0
Auto20.0
Teleop92.9
End14.0
blue by 46.4
173.30.7
171.9171.2
Auto23.5
Teleop125.0
End25.1
Third
3739
#40
125.90.2
130.5130.8
Auto16.6
Teleop93.9
End14.1
blue by 33.3
5596
#10
159.21.7
146.6148.3
Auto20.5
Teleop110.9
End28.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed44%Face the Boss oddsEarned