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Red140
4308135.5
6854113.8
771105.6
Blue469
1310149.6
4069153.1
4688152.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211371100300500600700140469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4308
#20
135.50.1
130.1130.0
Auto19.7
Teleop100.4
End14.3
blue by 17.6
4069
#18
153.12.5
127.8130.3
Auto22.8
Teleop107.3
End23.2
Second
6854
#19
113.80.0
108.3108.2
Auto17.0
Teleop85.8
End8.4
blue by 38.7
4688
#13
152.51.0
139.9141.0
Auto21.4
Teleop113.8
End19.3
Third
771
#35
105.60.2
101.4101.7
Auto17.6
Teleop76.7
End13.1
blue by 44.0
1310
#17
149.60.3
133.9134.1
Auto23.1
Teleop114.0
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed