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Red311
5039148.0
6110149.5
7013134.8
Blue355
6878129.4
4917213.5
3739125.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308388100200500600311355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6110
#21
149.50.6
141.5142.1
Auto19.8
Teleop111.5
End16.3
blue by 64.0
213.51.5
215.2216.6
Auto28.2
Teleop149.3
End35.7
Second
5039
#27
148.01.6
139.4141.0
Auto19.5
Teleop113.8
End13.8
red by 18.6
6878
#34
129.41.2
122.0123.3
Auto16.6
Teleop97.0
End16.0
Third
7013
#30
134.80.2
135.6135.8
Auto25.2
Teleop95.0
End15.3
red by 8.9
3739
#40
125.90.7
129.4130.0
Auto16.6
Teleop93.9
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed43%Face the Boss oddsMissed