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Red334
4525177.1
4939138.2
771105.6
Blue522
4039173.9
1241239.6
4308135.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2564400100200300400500600700334522

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4525
#11
177.10.3
180.5180.2
Auto24.4
Teleop127.2
End24.7
blue by 62.6
239.60.4
232.4232.8
Auto24.4
Teleop178.2
End34.3
Second
4939
#16
138.20.3
138.5138.8
Auto20.6
Teleop100.8
End14.7
blue by 35.6
173.90.4
166.9166.4
Auto25.8
Teleop134.5
End14.7
Third
771
#35
105.61.3
103.6105.0
Auto17.6
Teleop76.7
End13.1
blue by 29.9
4308
#20
135.50.9
129.7130.7
Auto19.7
Teleop100.4
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned21%Face the Boss oddsEarned