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Red331
5885136.9
5406205.6
6070126.9
Blue315
6878129.4
4069153.1
7013134.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3952820100200500600700331315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
205.61.0
198.6199.6
Auto24.2
Teleop144.6
End37.1
red by 52.6
4069
#18
153.12.5
137.4139.9
Auto22.8
Teleop107.3
End23.2
Second
5885
#25
136.91.3
130.5131.8
Auto19.6
Teleop93.0
End25.3
red by 2.1
7013
#30
134.80.2
135.8135.6
Auto25.2
Teleop95.0
End15.3
Third
6070
#15
126.91.0
124.2125.2
Auto20.0
Teleop92.9
End14.0
blue by 2.5
6878
#34
129.41.3
126.4127.7
Auto16.6
Teleop97.0
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
55%Face the Boss oddsEarned9%Face the Boss oddsMissed