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Red280
7058130.2
6009151.0
4968137.3
Blue370
2708172.2
7267121.1
6987109.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348283100200400500600280370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6009
#26
151.00.4
149.6150.0
Auto16.6
Teleop113.2
End21.6
blue by 21.3
172.20.5
157.9158.3
Auto21.2
Teleop132.4
End20.3
Second
4968
#37
137.30.2
136.3136.5
Auto20.5
Teleop98.6
End15.2
red by 16.2
7267
#29
121.10.3
107.9108.2
Auto16.8
Teleop95.3
End10.2
Third
7058
#32
130.20.7
131.9132.5
Auto20.3
Teleop95.9
End13.1
red by 21.0
6987
#39
109.21.2
103.8105.0
Auto17.3
Teleop79.0
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed