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Red183
4308135.5
7200142.9
6110149.5
Blue497
5039148.0
1114225.4
4688152.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256432100200300500600700800183497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6110
#21
149.51.5
147.6149.0
Auto19.8
Teleop111.5
End16.3
blue by 75.9
225.41.7
213.0214.8
Auto24.9
Teleop169.8
End29.0
Second
7200
#23
142.90.9
144.9144.0
Auto19.5
Teleop105.6
End17.0
blue by 9.7
4688
#13
152.50.4
145.6146.0
Auto21.4
Teleop113.8
End19.3
Third
4308
#20
135.51.3
130.7131.9
Auto19.7
Teleop100.4
End14.3
blue by 12.5
5039
#27
148.00.6
144.1144.7
Auto19.5
Teleop113.8
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed