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Red395
4976190.8
6854113.8
1241239.6
Blue257
4946173.3
2634146.9
5885136.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4192840100200500600395257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
239.60.9
232.8233.7
Auto24.4
Teleop178.2
End34.3
red by 66.4
173.30.8
169.4168.5
Auto23.5
Teleop125.0
End25.1
Second
4976
#12
190.80.2
190.0190.2
Auto20.3
Teleop148.7
End20.8
red by 43.9
2634
#24
146.91.1
147.3148.4
Auto15.7
Teleop108.0
End22.2
Third
6854
#19
113.81.1
109.2110.3
Auto17.0
Teleop85.8
End8.4
blue by 23.1
5885
#25
136.91.0
131.8132.8
Auto19.6
Teleop93.0
End25.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
42%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed