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Red251
1246157.3
907151.6
6878129.4
Blue351
7013134.8
4039173.9
4992138.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342338260280300320360251351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1246
#22
157.30.6
157.7158.3
Auto22.3
Teleop110.6
End25.5
blue by 16.6
173.90.2
166.4166.7
Auto25.8
Teleop134.5
End14.7
Second
907
#28
151.60.2
152.4152.6
Auto17.3
Teleop111.1
End20.6
red by 13.1
4992
#36
138.50.4
138.1138.4
Auto17.4
Teleop107.1
End11.3
Third
6878
#34
129.40.8
127.7128.5
Auto16.6
Teleop97.0
End16.0
blue by 5.4
7013
#30
134.80.3
135.6135.3
Auto25.2
Teleop95.0
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsMissed97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed