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Red348
5596159.2
6135116.6
4939138.2
Blue250
771105.6
6070126.9
4069153.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321327250300350400450348250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5596
#10
159.21.1
151.1152.2
Auto20.5
Teleop110.9
End28.3
red by 6.1
4069
#18
153.11.8
139.9141.7
Auto22.8
Teleop107.3
End23.2
Second
4939
#16
138.20.8
138.8139.6
Auto20.6
Teleop100.8
End14.7
red by 11.3
6070
#15
126.90.8
125.2126.1
Auto20.0
Teleop92.9
End14.0
Third
6135
#38
116.60.2
115.9116.0
Auto17.7
Teleop88.7
End9.2
red by 11.0
771
#35
105.61.5
105.0106.5
Auto17.6
Teleop76.7
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed