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Red333
4946173.3
4688152.5
6070126.9
Blue307
1114225.4
6632137.3
6009151.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2624140100200300500600700333307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.31.0
168.5167.6
Auto23.5
Teleop125.0
End25.1
blue by 52.1
225.41.8
214.8216.5
Auto24.9
Teleop169.8
End29.0
Second
4688
#13
152.50.7
146.0146.7
Auto21.4
Teleop113.8
End19.3
red by 1.6
6009
#26
151.00.2
150.0150.2
Auto16.6
Teleop113.2
End21.6
Third
6070
#15
126.90.4
126.1126.5
Auto20.0
Teleop92.9
End14.0
blue by 10.4
6632
#33
137.30.5
138.5137.9
Auto19.0
Teleop100.9
End18.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed