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Red248
4688152.5
6878129.4
5596159.2
Blue449
2634146.9
2708172.2
1241239.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2704450100200400500600700800248449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5596
#10
159.21.6
153.3154.9
Auto20.5
Teleop110.9
End28.3
blue by 80.4
239.61.4
234.4235.8
Auto24.4
Teleop178.2
End34.3
Second
4688
#13
152.51.0
146.7147.7
Auto21.4
Teleop113.8
End19.3
blue by 19.7
172.20.9
161.4162.2
Auto21.2
Teleop132.4
End20.3
Third
6878
#34
129.40.0
128.3128.3
Auto16.6
Teleop97.0
End16.0
blue by 17.5
2634
#24
146.91.0
148.9148.0
Auto15.7
Teleop108.0
End22.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed31%Face the Boss oddsEarned