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Red181
6070126.9
6987109.2
4917213.5
Blue304
865187.8
907151.6
7058130.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35337605001,0001,500181304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
213.50.1
216.6216.5
Auto28.2
Teleop149.3
End35.7
red by 25.7
865
#7
187.81.6
178.2179.8
Auto25.2
Teleop132.4
End30.4
Second
6070
#15
126.90.7
126.5127.2
Auto20.0
Teleop92.9
End14.0
blue by 24.7
907
#28
151.60.3
152.0151.7
Auto17.3
Teleop111.1
End20.6
Third
6987
#39
109.21.9
107.0108.9
Auto17.3
Teleop79.0
End13.7
blue by 21.0
7058
#32
130.21.1
133.0131.9
Auto20.3
Teleop95.9
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
43%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed