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Red430
2708172.2
5885136.9
1246157.3
Blue328
4688152.5
6632137.3
771105.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3912570100200300500600700430328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.21.2
162.2163.4
Auto21.2
Teleop132.4
End20.3
red by 19.7
4688
#13
152.50.8
147.7148.5
Auto21.4
Teleop113.8
End19.3
Second
1246
#22
157.30.6
156.9156.3
Auto22.3
Teleop110.6
End25.5
red by 20.0
6632
#33
137.30.5
137.1136.6
Auto19.0
Teleop100.9
End18.0
Third
5885
#25
136.90.7
134.0134.7
Auto19.6
Teleop93.0
End25.3
red by 31.3
771
#35
105.60.4
107.0106.6
Auto17.6
Teleop76.7
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed