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Red202
4704122.9
6135116.6
1310149.6
Blue437
6878129.4
7058130.2
4946173.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29034502004006008001,000202437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
#17
149.61.4
145.2146.6
Auto23.1
Teleop114.0
End12.1
blue by 23.6
173.30.6
167.2167.9
Auto23.5
Teleop125.0
End25.1
Second
4704
#31
122.90.7
123.7124.4
Auto18.6
Teleop95.0
End7.6
blue by 7.3
7058
#32
130.21.0
131.9130.9
Auto20.3
Teleop95.9
End13.1
Third
6135
#38
116.60.6
116.9117.5
Auto17.7
Teleop88.7
End9.2
blue by 12.8
6878
#34
129.40.1
128.3128.4
Auto16.6
Teleop97.0
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed