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Red466
6070126.9
1360208.8
4525177.1
Blue236
2634146.9
6110149.5
4939138.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4212840100200500600700466236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
208.81.1
204.9206.1
Auto26.1
Teleop153.5
End29.3
red by 59.3
6110
#21
149.50.2
150.1150.3
Auto19.8
Teleop111.5
End16.3
Second
4525
#11
177.10.8
177.9177.2
Auto24.4
Teleop127.2
End24.7
red by 30.2
2634
#24
146.90.3
148.0147.7
Auto15.7
Teleop108.0
End22.2
Third
6070
#15
126.90.8
127.2126.4
Auto20.0
Teleop92.9
End14.0
blue by 11.3
4939
#16
138.20.9
140.2139.4
Auto20.6
Teleop100.8
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed