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Red309
4992138.5
4917213.5
6854113.8
Blue496
1241239.6
2609163.2
4069153.1
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291452100200400500600700800900309496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
213.51.5
216.5215.0
Auto28.2
Teleop149.3
End35.7
blue by 26.2
239.61.7
235.8237.5
Auto24.4
Teleop178.2
End34.3
Second
4992
#36
138.50.1
140.1140.1
Auto17.4
Teleop107.1
End11.3
blue by 24.7
2609
#14
163.20.8
163.9163.1
Auto24.5
Teleop120.1
End17.6
Third
6854
#19
113.80.8
112.1112.9
Auto17.0
Teleop85.8
End8.4
blue by 39.3
4069
#18DQ
153.12.0
144.8146.8
Auto22.8
Teleop107.3
End23.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss oddsMissed42%Face the Boss oddsEarned