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Red442
1114225.4
4039173.9
7267121.1
Blue249
5596159.2
3739125.9
5039148.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4252310100300500600700442249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225.40.9
217.5218.4
Auto24.9
Teleop169.8
End29.0
red by 66.2
5596
#10
159.21.3
154.9156.2
Auto20.5
Teleop110.9
End28.3
Second
173.91.3
168.5169.8
Auto25.8
Teleop134.5
End14.7
red by 25.9
5039
#27
148.00.8
145.9146.8
Auto19.5
Teleop113.8
End13.8
Third
7267
#29
121.11.9
110.8112.6
Auto16.8
Teleop95.3
End10.2
blue by 4.8
3739
#40
125.90.0
125.8125.8
Auto16.6
Teleop93.9
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed