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Red406
2708172.2
1114225.4
4525177.1
Blue192
1360208.8
4992138.5
1246157.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions409313100200500600406192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225.41.2
213.1211.9
Auto24.9
Teleop169.8
End29.0
red by 16.6
208.81.8
197.3199.1
Auto26.1
Teleop153.5
End29.3
Second
4525
#11
177.10.0
180.2180.3
Auto24.4
Teleop127.2
End24.7
red by 19.8
1246
#22
157.30.7
154.6155.3
Auto22.3
Teleop110.6
End25.5
Third
172.20.1
159.1159.2
Auto21.2
Teleop132.4
End20.3
red by 33.7
4992
#36
138.50.7
142.0141.3
Auto17.4
Teleop107.1
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed