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Red296
6987109.2
7058130.2
4039173.9
Blue383
4976190.8
6878129.4
6632137.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267374100200300400500600296383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.90.4
168.3167.9
Auto25.8
Teleop134.5
End14.7
blue by 16.9
4976
#12
190.80.2
189.1189.3
Auto20.3
Teleop148.7
End20.8
Second
7058
#32
130.21.4
126.1127.4
Auto20.3
Teleop95.9
End13.1
blue by 7.1
6632
#33
137.30.8
134.0134.7
Auto19.0
Teleop100.9
End18.0
Third
6987
#39
109.20.4
101.9102.4
Auto17.3
Teleop79.0
End13.7
blue by 20.2
6878
#34
129.40.9
123.3124.2
Auto16.6
Teleop97.0
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed