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Red267
907151.6
7200142.9
4968137.3
Blue406
5885136.9
1310149.6
6110149.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344306150200250400450500267406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
907
#28
151.60.3
152.7152.9
Auto17.3
Teleop111.1
End20.6
red by 2.0
1310
#17
149.61.1
134.1135.2
Auto23.1
Teleop114.0
End12.1
Second
7200
#23
142.90.5
145.5146.0
Auto19.5
Teleop105.6
End17.0
blue by 6.6
6110
#21
149.50.5
142.1142.6
Auto19.8
Teleop111.5
End16.3
Third
4968
#37
137.30.7
134.6135.3
Auto20.5
Teleop98.6
End15.2
red by 0.4
5885
#25
136.90.5
128.1128.5
Auto19.6
Teleop93.0
End25.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed