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Red323
1241239.6
4939138.2
7013134.8
Blue225
6009151.0
2708172.2
4917213.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331408200300500600700323225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
239.60.8
230.2231.0
Auto24.4
Teleop178.2
End34.3
red by 26.2
213.51.2
216.6217.8
Auto28.2
Teleop149.3
End35.7
Second
4939
#16
138.20.8
137.5138.3
Auto20.6
Teleop100.8
End14.7
blue by 34.0
172.20.2
159.2159.4
Auto21.2
Teleop132.4
End20.3
Third
7013
#30
134.80.2
135.8136.0
Auto25.2
Teleop95.0
End15.3
blue by 16.2
6009
#26
151.00.9
150.7151.6
Auto16.6
Teleop113.2
End21.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsEarned30%Face the Boss oddsMissed