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Red436
5596159.2
4308135.5
4976190.8
Blue375
6110149.5
4525177.1
6878129.4
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions400318100200500600700436375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4976
#12
190.80.1
190.5190.6
Auto20.3
Teleop148.7
End20.8
red by 13.7
4525
#11
177.10.3
177.2176.8
Auto24.4
Teleop127.2
End24.7
Second
5596
#10
159.20.7
156.2156.9
Auto20.5
Teleop110.9
End28.3
red by 9.7
6110
#21
149.50.3
150.3150.0
Auto19.8
Teleop111.5
End16.3
Third
4308
#20
135.50.4
132.1132.5
Auto19.7
Teleop100.4
End14.3
red by 6.1
6878
#34
129.40.7
128.4129.1
Auto16.6
Teleop97.0
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed