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Red188
6070126.9
7058130.2
7013134.8
Blue487
4688152.5
2708172.2
4039173.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1914440100300400500600700188487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7013
#30
134.80.3
134.6134.8
Auto25.2
Teleop95.0
End15.3
blue by 39.1
173.91.5
169.8171.3
Auto25.8
Teleop134.5
End14.7
Second
7058
#32
130.20.2
130.9130.8
Auto20.3
Teleop95.9
End13.1
blue by 42.1
172.21.8
163.4165.3
Auto21.2
Teleop132.4
End20.3
Third
6070
#15
126.90.4
126.4126.0
Auto20.0
Teleop92.9
End14.0
blue by 25.7
4688
#13
152.51.2
148.5149.7
Auto21.4
Teleop113.8
End19.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed