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Red418
865187.8
7267121.1
5039148.0
Blue235
1310149.6
6987109.2
907151.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384284100200500600418235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#7
187.80.7
180.9181.6
Auto25.2
Teleop132.4
End30.4
red by 36.2
907
#28
151.60.2
151.3151.5
Auto17.3
Teleop111.1
End20.6
Second
5039
#27
148.00.4
146.8147.1
Auto19.5
Teleop113.8
End13.8
blue by 1.6
1310
#17
149.60.4
146.6147.0
Auto23.1
Teleop114.0
End12.1
Third
7267
#29
121.11.9
112.6114.6
Auto16.8
Teleop95.3
End10.2
red by 11.9
6987
#39
109.20.0
109.1109.1
Auto17.3
Teleop79.0
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed