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Red483
4939138.2
4946173.3
1114225.4
Blue275
5406205.6
4968137.3
4992138.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions411305100200500600700483275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225.41.4
219.6221.0
Auto24.9
Teleop169.8
End29.0
red by 19.7
205.61.4
203.2204.6
Auto24.2
Teleop144.6
End37.1
Second
173.31.2
167.9169.0
Auto23.5
Teleop125.0
End25.1
red by 34.8
4992
#36
138.50.4
140.4140.0
Auto17.4
Teleop107.1
End11.3
Third
4939
#16
138.21.1
139.4138.2
Auto20.6
Teleop100.8
End14.7
red by 0.9
4968
#37
137.30.3
136.9137.2
Auto20.5
Teleop98.6
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsEarned60%Face the Boss oddsMissed