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Red282
865198.0
571992.5
2852137.3
Blue373
2702173.8
1374109.2
3683160.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302302150200250350400282373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#2
198.01.5
190.1188.6
Auto24.6
Teleop147.3
End26.0
red by 24.2
173.80.2
160.4160.2
Auto23.5
Teleop125.4
End27.8
Second
2852
#18
137.30.2
138.5138.7
Auto12.9
Teleop112.2
End12.6
blue by 23.0
3683
#11
160.31.9
182.0180.1
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8
Third
5719
#17
92.51.2
108.3107.1
Auto15.8
Teleop73.4
End5.9
blue by 16.8
1374
#16
109.22.2
116.5114.3
Auto17.0
Teleop82.6
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsMissed26%Face the Boss oddsMissed