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Red147
1334127.5
3571100.6
4939130.0
Blue459
6070134.4
1310151.9
1241202.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2134180100300500600147459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
130.00.5
130.9130.4
Auto16.3
Teleop91.1
End23.9
blue by 72.9
202.90.8
233.0232.3
Auto24.2
Teleop156.5
End20.3
Second
1334
#14
127.52.9
149.5146.6
Auto15.7
Teleop99.3
End13.1
blue by 24.4
151.90.5
151.9152.4
Auto21.9
Teleop114.3
End15.2
Third
3571
#19
100.62.1
123.9121.9
Auto13.7
Teleop81.7
End2.3
blue by 33.9
134.41.7
128.3126.6
Auto19.5
Teleop104.3
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed22%Face the Boss oddsMissed