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Red324
865198.0
2852137.3
3683160.3
Blue306
5406185.4
4618178.7
6867146.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332321100200400500324306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#2
198.02.9
187.8184.8
Auto24.6
Teleop147.3
End26.0
red by 12.6
185.44.0
206.2202.2
Auto18.7
Teleop140.2
End26.6
Second
3683
#11
160.32.1
179.0176.9
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8
blue by 18.5
4618
#13
178.71.0
183.5182.5
Auto21.5
Teleop139.1
End16.6
Third
2852
#18
137.30.5
138.7139.2
Auto12.9
Teleop112.2
End12.6
blue by 9.4
146.60.2
131.6131.4
Auto22.8
Teleop105.0
End19.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed82%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
32%Face the Boss oddsMissed33%Face the Boss oddsMissed