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Red382
3683160.3
2852137.3
4939130.0
Blue246
2702173.8
3571100.6
1334127.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3502330100200300400500600382246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3683
#11
160.31.8
176.9175.1
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8
blue by 13.6
173.80.5
160.5160.0
Auto23.5
Teleop125.4
End27.8
Second
2852
#18
137.30.3
139.2139.5
Auto12.9
Teleop112.2
End12.6
red by 9.7
1334
#14
127.52.7
140.0137.3
Auto15.7
Teleop99.3
End13.1
Third
130.01.0
130.4129.4
Auto16.3
Teleop91.1
End23.9
red by 29.4
3571
#19
100.63.2
119.7116.5
Auto13.7
Teleop81.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed