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Red408
865198.0
1374109.2
4039165.4
Blue268
571992.5
1241202.9
1075110.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287288280300320360408268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#2
198.02.5
184.8182.4
Auto24.6
Teleop147.3
End26.0
blue by 4.9
202.91.5
230.3228.8
Auto24.2
Teleop156.5
End20.3
Second
4039
#12
165.41.6
158.3156.6
Auto26.8
Teleop125.8
End15.8
red by 54.8
1075
#10
110.70.3
119.5119.2
Auto18.5
Teleop80.6
End13.3
Third
1374
#16
109.22.6
112.9110.3
Auto17.0
Teleop82.6
End8.9
red by 16.8
5719
#17
92.51.5
106.4104.9
Auto15.8
Teleop73.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed