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Red253
5406185.4
4939130.0
1334127.5
Blue328
2852137.3
2702173.8
4618178.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2653690100200300400500253328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.44.4
198.6194.3
Auto18.7
Teleop140.2
End26.6
red by 6.7
4618
#13
178.70.8
181.4180.6
Auto21.5
Teleop139.1
End16.6
Second
130.00.2
129.4129.2
Auto16.3
Teleop91.1
End23.9
blue by 43.8
173.80.6
160.0159.4
Auto23.5
Teleop125.4
End27.8
Third
1334
#14
127.52.3
137.3134.9
Auto15.7
Teleop99.3
End13.1
blue by 9.7
2852
#18
137.30.8
139.5140.4
Auto12.9
Teleop112.2
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
47%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed