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Red240
3683160.3
4976142.7
571992.5
Blue164
1241202.9
1374109.2
1075110.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290305150200250350240164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3683
#11
160.30.8
175.1174.3
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8
blue by 42.6
202.92.1
228.8226.7
Auto24.2
Teleop156.5
End20.3
Second
4976
#15
142.74.0
165.9162.0
Auto14.3
Teleop115.9
End13.0
red by 32.0
1075
#10
110.71.2
119.2117.9
Auto18.5
Teleop80.6
End13.3
Third
5719
#17
92.52.2
104.9102.7
Auto15.8
Teleop73.4
End5.9
blue by 16.8
1374
#16
109.21.0
110.3109.3
Auto17.0
Teleop82.6
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed