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Red255
6867146.6
1241202.9
571992.5
Blue312
4976142.7
5406185.4
1334127.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306288150200250350400255312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.92.1
224.0221.9
Auto24.2
Teleop156.5
End20.3
red by 17.5
185.43.2
190.1186.9
Auto18.7
Teleop140.2
End26.6
Second
146.60.6
130.7130.1
Auto22.8
Teleop105.0
End19.3
red by 3.9
4976
#15
142.72.8
158.3155.5
Auto14.3
Teleop115.9
End13.0
Third
5719
#17
92.51.6
100.598.9
Auto15.8
Teleop73.4
End5.9
blue by 35.1
1334
#14
127.52.4
132.4130.0
Auto15.7
Teleop99.3
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed41%Face the Boss oddsEarned