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Red347
1075110.7
6070134.4
4039165.4
Blue181
2852137.3
2702173.8
4992142.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2603280100200300400500347181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#12
165.40.1
155.1155.2
Auto26.8
Teleop125.8
End15.8
blue by 8.4
173.80.1
159.0158.9
Auto23.5
Teleop125.4
End27.8
Second
134.40.2
122.5122.3
Auto19.5
Teleop104.3
End12.5
blue by 8.4
142.90.7
128.0127.3
Auto17.3
Teleop110.5
End19.0
Third
1075
#10
110.70.9
116.1115.2
Auto18.5
Teleop80.6
End13.3
blue by 26.6
2852
#18
137.30.7
141.1141.7
Auto12.9
Teleop112.2
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed