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Red367
3571100.6
1241202.9
865198.0
Blue187
4618178.7
3683160.3
571992.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35326902004006008001,000367187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.91.7
221.9220.2
Auto24.2
Teleop156.5
End20.3
red by 24.2
4618
#13
178.70.6
179.8180.4
Auto21.5
Teleop139.1
End16.6
Second
865
#2
198.00.4
180.4180.0
Auto24.6
Teleop147.3
End26.0
red by 37.7
3683
#11
160.30.7
171.6170.9
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8
Third
3571
#19
100.62.1
111.0108.8
Auto13.7
Teleop81.7
End2.3
red by 8.1
5719
#17
92.51.2
98.997.7
Auto15.8
Teleop73.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
37%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed