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Red278
1075110.7
1334127.5
4618178.7
Blue219
3571100.6
4976142.7
3683160.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28832205001,0001,5002,0002,500278219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4618
#13
178.70.1
180.4180.3
Auto21.5
Teleop139.1
End16.6
red by 18.5
3683
#11
160.31.1
170.9169.8
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8
Second
1334
#14
127.50.8
128.7127.9
Auto15.7
Teleop99.3
End13.1
blue by 15.2
4976
#15
142.70.6
153.8153.2
Auto14.3
Teleop115.9
End13.0
Third
1075
#10
110.70.8
114.7113.9
Auto18.5
Teleop80.6
End13.3
red by 10.1
3571
#19
100.61.6
108.8107.2
Auto13.7
Teleop81.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed