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Red289
571992.5
1310151.9
5406185.4
Blue276
4039165.4
2702173.8
4939130.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289301150200250350400289276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.40.3
184.0183.8
Auto18.7
Teleop140.2
End26.6
red by 11.6
173.80.6
157.8158.4
Auto23.5
Teleop125.4
End27.8
Second
151.90.9
151.6152.5
Auto21.9
Teleop114.3
End15.2
blue by 13.5
4039
#12
165.41.0
155.4156.4
Auto26.8
Teleop125.8
End15.8
Third
5719
#17
92.51.4
96.394.9
Auto15.8
Teleop73.4
End5.9
blue by 37.5
130.00.7
127.0126.3
Auto16.3
Teleop91.1
End23.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed