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Red240
4976142.7
4992142.9
6070134.4
Blue461
1334127.5
3683160.3
1241202.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2124000100300500600700240461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.90.4
125.9125.5
Auto17.3
Teleop110.5
End19.0
blue by 60.0
202.90.4
219.0218.6
Auto24.2
Teleop156.5
End20.3
Second
4976
#15
142.70.8
153.2152.4
Auto14.3
Teleop115.9
End13.0
blue by 17.6
3683
#11
160.31.2
169.8168.6
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8
Third
134.40.1
122.8122.9
Auto19.5
Teleop104.3
End12.5
red by 6.9
1334
#14
127.50.6
127.9127.3
Auto15.7
Teleop99.3
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed36%Face the Boss oddsMissed