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Red142
4939130.0
1241202.9
1374109.2
Blue466
5406185.4
865198.0
4992142.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2593790100200300500600700800142466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.90.5
218.6218.1
Auto24.2
Teleop156.5
End20.3
red by 4.9
865
#2
198.01.3
180.0181.4
Auto24.6
Teleop147.3
End26.0
Second
130.01.0
126.3125.3
Auto16.3
Teleop91.1
End23.9
blue by 55.4
185.40.2
183.8183.6
Auto18.7
Teleop140.2
End26.6
Third
1374
#16
109.20.5
105.5106.1
Auto17.0
Teleop82.6
End8.9
blue by 33.6
142.90.1
125.5125.4
Auto17.3
Teleop110.5
End19.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed42%Face the Boss oddsEarned